Chris Davies out - New by-election.

richp007

That's true. By media coverage I meant Johnson, Farage, Corbyn, etc commenting on it, but I've seen absolutely nothing. Unless I've just missed it.

I suspect Farage might not be prematurely wining and dining this time anyway Still might skulk out the back though again!

The Libs seem to be favourites but I think it could be any of the 3.

Rasczak

Johnson's visit to Wales on Tuesday was supposed to bolster the Tory campaign but it probably did more harm than good.

The Brexit Party have seemingly achieved very little other than crashing their bus into a hedge.

springtide

I did see talk about a coalition between Tory and Brexit Party, but seems this hasn’t happened???

Does this mean TBP hope to split the Tory vote and The Libs win? I guess we will see!
If so, does make you wonder what exactly TBP want to achieve? Is it now more about MPs or Brexit??

Sonic67

Not yet. It might. Might.
If it does then it makes the point. If Boris wants to win a GE he won't do it if his vote is split. As with Peterborough.
If only we knew what a party called The Brexit Party actually wanted to achieve....

Rasczak

I think it's as much about the cults of Farage and Johnson as Brexit. The latter hopes he can neutralise the former. Brecon will answer that I suppose!

richp007

A coalition would be for the GE. Nothing for a by-election.

I think they all seem to have the split the vote tactic going on. It could be very close. I think the Tories are certainly hoping that TBP takes votes away from Labour and Lib Dem. And therefore there's enough Tory faithful to see Davies over the line.

It's a big win for any of them to be honest.

Sonic67

Note.

Opinion polling for the next United Kingdom general election - Wikipedia

                                                                               

Boris has taken a hardline over Brexit and is ramping up "no deal" promises.

Now he's gaining support, and the TBP is losing it. He wouldn't be doing it at all if TBP didn't exist. He probably wouldn't be PM either.

richp007

Looks like Jezza was out early this morning

                                                                       

krish

Surprise/anomaly there of 2% for CUK
[EDIT ... meaning I think it's too high, as the remaining 0% poll results indicate, if that wasn't obvious ]

Sonic67

Previews: 01 Aug 2019

If you want to vote for a politician with convictions, here’s your chance. Convicted expense fraudster Christopher Davies is standing for re-election as the Conservative candidate. It should be noted that that the previous two Brecon and Radnor by-elections, in 1939 and 1985, both saw the Conservatives lose a seat they previously held partly as a result of poor candidate selections. Davies will be hoping to buck that trend.

The Liberal Democrats have been installed as runaway bookies’ favourites for this by-election, although the bookies have been known to be wrong before (see Peterborough, last month). The Lib Dem candidate is their Welsh party leader Jane Dodds, a trained social worker and former Richmond upon Thames councillor who fought Montgomeryshire (where she lives) in the 2015 general election, 2016 Senedd election and 2017 general election. Plaid Cymru and the Green Party have stood down in her favour.